November 18th, 2015 · News
|‘Very Encouraging’ News for Sanders in Polls,
Sanders Beats Republicans in General Election Matchups,
Clinton Fares Poorly Among Independents and Republicans,
Voters See Clinton as ‘Too Close to Special Interests and Wall Street’
|WASHINGTON – Recent polls for major news organizations contained “very encouraging news” for Sen. Bernie Sanders and warning signs on Hillary Clinton’s general election prospects should she win the nomination, according to a memorandum by polling and strategic consulting expert Ben Tulchin. Significantly, Sanders fares better than Clinton in many head-to-head matchups with leading Republicans.
The independent surveys show the senator from Vermont continues to close the gap with the former secretary of state while voters’ familiarity with Sanders and his favorability ratings are steadily rising, Sanders’ pollster said. Moreover, Sanders’ agenda has dominated the debate. His message about a rigged economy propped up by a corrupt campaign finance system “is driving the issue agenda within the Democratic primary,” Tulchin wrote.
Looking ahead to next year’s general election, Sanders is much more popular than Clinton with independents and he is much better positioned with Republicans, factors Tulchin said raise “real questions as to which of these leading Democratic candidates is in fact the best positioned for the general election.”
In several recent surveys Sanders outperformed Clinton in matchups with Republicans. In a Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll released on Nov. 3, Sanders outpolled Donald Trump by nine points, 50 percent to 41 percent, and the Vermont senator beat Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida by five points, 46 percent to 41 percent. In a McClatchy/Marist poll released Nov. 13, Sanders outpolled Donald Trump, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Sen. Ted Cruz and Carly Fiorina. Sanders outperformed Clinton against Cruz and Bush. In a new poll in Colorado, Sanders fared better than Clinton when pitted against four leading Republican White House hopefuls. Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll, said Clinton “would get bruised and beaten by all the top GOP opponents, and absolutely crushed” by Rubio or Carson.
With the first primaries and caucuses less than three months away, the survey findings warn that Clinton “has real vulnerabilities within the Democratic primary electorate,” particularly for “being too close to special interests and Wall Street.”
The analysis of recent polls for CBS News, NBC News, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal underscored the fact that Sanders has closed the gap with Clinton since he declared his candidacy on April 30. Half a year ago, Sanders barely registered in polls and pundits dismissed his chances. Today, Sanders “has made tremendous progress and is now the leading Democratic challenger to Hillary Clinton and within striking distance of her,” according to the memo.
Nationally, Sanders trailed by 30 points in a New York Times/CBS News poll in September (58 percent to 28 percent) but trailed by only 19 points (52 percent to 33 percent) in the latest survey. In fact, Sanders gained a net 5 points on Hillary over the past month, a period one published report declared “the best month ever” for Clinton.
In Iowa and New Hampshire, the states with the first caucuses and primary elections next February, the survey show that the more people know about Sanders the better they like him. “The bottom line is that as Democratic primary voters in key early voting states become more familiar with Sanders, they very much like what they hear and are much more likely to vote for him, thereby putting Sanders on a trajectory to make the Democratic primary horserace even more competitive as he campaigns aggressively and begins to advertise to get his message out more broadly.,” the pollster wrote.
To put the numbers in historical context, then-Sen. Barack Obama in 2007 trailed Clinton by 27 points at the same stage of that campaign. A Gallup Poll released on Nov. 16, 2007, put her ahead with 48 percent of the vote to Obama’s 21 percent.
October 26th, 2015 · News
Exciting news here at Tulchin Research, we are officially a part of Bernie Sander's Presidential Campaign! Please check out the links below of recent media coverage detailing our work with Bernie's campaign as well as his official campaign website. Here at Tulchin research we are #feelingthebern!
New York Time's Article- Bernie Sanders Hires Pollster Who Worked on Dean Campaign
"Mr. Sanders’s campaign, flush with cash from low-dollar donors, has hired a pollster of its own, his senior adviser Tad Devine confirmed. Mr. Sanders has brought on Ben Tulchin
, who polled for Howard Dean, the insurgent Democratic presidential candidate of the 2004 cycle."
Yahoo News Live-Debate day-after: Sanders raises cash, Clinton camp pleased
"In another sign of its maturing operation, the campaign has hired Democratic pollster Ben Tulchin
, whose past clients have included former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean, who ran for president in 2004, former California Gov. Gray Davis and Sen. Patty Murray of Washington state."
Bernie Sander's Official Campaign Website
August 26th, 2015 · News
Tulchin Research recently conducted a California statewide survey on behalf of the ACLU of California Center for Advocacy & Policy to assess how likely voters think and feel about criminal justice and law enforcement, especially with regard to police misconduct. With the issue in the news in recent months due to high profile events, this research aims to gauge voter sentiments towards these issues in California specifically and help inform elected officials in Sacramento about the public’s desire to reform how police interact with the public, especially in communities of color. The poll found California voters want more transparency with how police misconduct cases are handled. Specifically, they demand public access to investigations of acts of misconduct and use of force by police. Voters see body cameras on police officers as a helpful tool in making policing more transparent and for holding officers accountable for how they interact with the public, especially in cases of misconduct and use of force. Furthermore, voters want access to the footage, especially when force or misconduct is involved.
Read Detailed Polling Data Here
Read the ACLU Press Release Here.
Regards, The Tulchin Research Team
To find out more about Tulchin Research and how we can help you with your research needs, visit our website, www.tulchinresearch.com,
email Ben at firstname.lastname@example.org,
or call us at (415) 874-7441.
Tags:body cameras·police misconduct·police reform·Polling
New Tulchin Research Poll Shows Majority of California Voters Support ACLU-backed Assembly Bill 953 to Curb Racial Profiling
A new Tulchin Research poll, conducted on behalf of the ACLU of California Center for Advocacy & Policy, finds that a solid majority of voters in California believe police discriminate against communities of color and support proposals to address the current crisis in biased policing.
According to a new poll conducted by Tulchin Research, 67% of likely California voters support AB 953: The Racial and Identity Profiling Act of 2015, a state bill introduced by Assemblymember Shirley Weber (D-San Diego) to combat racial and identity profiling by law enforcement. The poll results of 900 likely November 2016 voters come as the bill heads to the California Senate Appropriations Committee.
Other Notable Findings
• Nationwide events: Nearly every voter (95%) reports having heard of the recent high-profile police shootings and misconduct cases in Ferguson, New York and Charleston and most voters (80%) believe something like that could very well happen in California.
• Police discrimination: 71 percent of California voters believe police are most likely to discriminate against young black men. Similarly, voters view Latinos (58%) and young Latino men (61%) as groups that are more likely to be discriminated against.
• Use of force legislation: There is strong voter support (71%) for legislation aimed to increase transparency and accountability when it comes to law enforcement’s use of force reporting practices, such as AB 619 (Weber) and AB 71 (Rodriguez).
Click here to read the official ACLU press release
Click here to read Tulchin Research's full poll memo
Tags:ACLU·California polling·fair policing·racial profiling
July 7th, 2015 · News
Tulchin Research poll conducted on behalf of Defenders of Wildlife and Earthjustice finds support for landmark conservation law spans the political spectrum
While the Endangered Species Act is currently under attack by corporate special interests and their allies in Washington, a new national survey finds a broad-based national consensus on the value of and need for this landmark environmental safeguard.
Tulchin Research recently conducted a survey among 600 registered voters nationwide on behalf of the Defenders of Wildlife and Earthjustice. Our poll finds that nine out of ten voters (90%) support the law – including a majority (53%) who say they strongly support it – and that support extends across the country, across all demographic groups, and across the political spectrum. In today’s highly polarized political environment, it is notable that the Endangered Species Act is supported by overwhelming majorities of self-identified liberals (96% support), moderates (94%), and conservatives (82%). Additionally, the poll finds 68 percent of registered voters indicating they would be more likely to vote for a member of Congress “who supports environmental safeguards such as the Endangered Species Act, the Clean Air Act, and the Clean Water Act,” while just 10 percent say they would be less likely to vote for that member.
You can read the full news release from Defenders of Wildlife and Earthjustice here
and read our poll memo here
Tags:Defenders of Wildlife·Earthjustice·Endangered Species Act·Nationwide Public Opinion Survey
June 29th, 2015 · News
June 29, 2015
Ben Tulchin Presented at the AAPC Sacramento Regional Conference Last Week
In case you missed this due to other events in the news last week (just small things like the Supreme Court affirming the legality of marriage equality and Obamacare, and the US doing well in the Women’s World Cup), Ben Tulchin, President of Tulchin Research, was honored to speak at the American Association of Political Consultants' Conference in Sacramento this week. Ben spoke as part of the panel "The Marijuana Millennium: Facing the New Normal" and presented public opinion findings regarding the support for legalizing, regulating, and taxing marijuana in California with survey research conducted on behalf of the ACLU.
For more information about the American Association of Political Consultant's Sacramento Regional Conference visit, http://www.theaapc.org/default.asp?contentID=1027
About Tulchin Research:
Tulchin Research is a leading polling and strategic consulting firm. To find out how we can help you with your public opinion research needs, visit our website (www.tulchinresearch.com), email us (email@example.com), or call us (415-874-7441).
Follow Tulchin Research:
firstname.lastname@example.org • Tulchin Research
Tags:AAPC·California·marijuana·Political Consultant·Public Opinion·San Francisco
May 7, 2015
Exciting Job Opportunity at Leading Political Consulting Firm
Job Description: Project Associate
Tulchin Research, a Democratic polling and strategic consulting firm based in downtown San Francisco, seeks a Project Associate for an immediate start. Tulchin Research provides consulting services to candidates for elected office, ballot measure campaigns, labor unions, non-profits, corporations, and foundations.
The Project Associate is responsible for assisting the company's President and Analysts with all aspects of qualitative and quantitative research for the firm's clients. Duties include proofing data for accuracy, conducting background research, coordinating focus group logistics, scheduling and overseeing surveys, and drafting marketing proposals and presentations. In addition, the Project Associate oversees the day-to-day operations of the office, including arranging meetings and travel for the President, helping with billing and bookkeeping, and ensuring the office runs smoothly and efficiently.
This is a fast-paced environment that requires a self-starter with attention to detail, time management skills and strong communication and writing skills. Proficiency in Microsoft Word, Excel Outlook and PowerPoint is necessary and experience using web applications and social media is a plus. The ideal candidate will have previous experience in public opinion research, political campaigns, and/or a degree in political science or similar social sciences.
The position is full time and includes benefits. Tulchin Research is an equal opportunity employer.
Any interested candidates should send a cover letter and resume to email@example.com
Tags:Bay Area·California·Employment·Job Opportunity·Political Consulting·Project Associate·San Francisco·Tulchin Research